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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+4.51vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.09+6.14vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.05+5.34vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+3.09vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.02vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+0.91vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.74+2.54vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.27+3.13vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.78+0.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+0.64vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.09+1.09vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.69-2.30vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12-4.84vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.64-3.95vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-5.02vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.67-10.02vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.14Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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8.34Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.09Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.54Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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11.13Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.58Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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12.09Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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9.7Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.16Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.05Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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9.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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5.98Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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13.13Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| John Eastman | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Maks Groom | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Jack Derry | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 20.0% |
| William George | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Will Priebe | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.