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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.74+8.26vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+4.88vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+3.72vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+5.98vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.78+4.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.05+2.54vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.09+1.14vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.27+3.10vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.67-2.91vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-2.84vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.12-2.78vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-6.31vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.09-0.84vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.69-4.05vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.93vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-5.17vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.64-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.72Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.18Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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8.14Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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11.1Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.09Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.22Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.69Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.16Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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9.95Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.07Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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10.02Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| John Eastman | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 4.0% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Will Priebe | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 11.3% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 17.5% |
| William George | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 30.5% |
| Jack Derry | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.