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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.78+8.16vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+4.68vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+4.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+6.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.04vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.67+0.15vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27+4.38vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+1.73vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-3.18vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.12-2.12vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.09+1.12vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.69-2.25vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.64-2.92vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.81vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.09-6.80vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.74-6.36vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.05-8.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.68Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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6.15Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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11.38Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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5.82Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.88Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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12.12Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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9.75Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.08Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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13.19Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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8.2Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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9.64Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Kumler | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Jack Derry | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% |
| Maks Groom | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 19.8% |
| William George | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 29.6% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| John Eastman | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.