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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+4.36vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+4.68vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.97vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.74+5.27vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+1.33vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.67-0.17vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27+4.04vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.09-0.23vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+0.84vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.69-0.67vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.64-1.25vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.88+0.44vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.08vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.78-4.74vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.05-7.03vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.09-4.21vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.83Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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11.04Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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7.77Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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9.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.33Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.75Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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12.44Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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12.92Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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9.26Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% |
| Sam Tobin | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| William George | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 22.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 23.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| John Eastman | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 14.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.