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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+4.32vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+4.69vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+2.70vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.64+5.63vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+4.51vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+0.67vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.00vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.09+3.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+1.61vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.69-0.71vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.05-2.84vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.78-2.92vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.27-1.78vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.09-5.99vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-5.78vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.77-3.08vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.88-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.7Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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9.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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11.46Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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9.29Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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9.08Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.22Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.01Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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9.22Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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12.92Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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12.51Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 14.2% |
| Jack Derry | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| William George | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| John Eastman | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 24.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.