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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.00vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+6.44vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.50+2.79vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+7.75vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+1.39vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.63+3.27vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.11vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.00vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-1.38vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.49-0.45vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.37-0.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-2.54vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.84-4.63vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut2.59-0.99vs Predicted
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15Bates College2.43-1.66vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.89-8.93vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.25-7.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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8.44Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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6.39Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.27Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.55Boston College3.490.0%1st Place
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10.2Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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8.37Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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13.01University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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13.34Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.07Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.64Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 15.7% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Simmons | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Bloomstine | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| William Hutchings | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Clancy | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| John Giuliano | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 25.2% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 29.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.