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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+5.33vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+7.56vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+7.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+4.14vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.09+2.70vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.74+3.44vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38-0.25vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.09+3.48vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-3.41vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.64-0.47vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27+0.18vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.79vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-5.89vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.69-4.42vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.67-9.24vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.78-6.82vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.88-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.7Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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9.44Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.53Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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11.18Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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12.79Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.58Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.76Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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9.18Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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12.52Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Jack Derry | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 5.6% |
| John Eastman | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.7% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 26.1% |
| Maks Groom | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| William George | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.