← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.45+5.35vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.38+4.68vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.75+2.41vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.78+5.12vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.67+0.62vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.27+5.24vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College1.64+2.56vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+2.25vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+0.79vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.69-0.65vs Predicted
-
11Yale University2.09-2.97vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.74-2.76vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.05-4.89vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-6.84vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University0.88-2.58vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.09-4.18vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.35Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.68Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.41Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.12Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
-
5.62Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
-
11.24Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
-
9.56Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
-
10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
-
9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
-
9.35Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.03Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
-
9.24Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.11Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
-
7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
12.42Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
-
11.82Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
-
12.83Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marina Garrido | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Jack Derry | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| William George | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Sam Tobin | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| John Eastman | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Maks Groom | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 21.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.