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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+5.83vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+6.01vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+2.72vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+1.51vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.09+2.69vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+0.71vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+2.70vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+2.14vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.78+0.29vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-0.86vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-1.42vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.27-0.99vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.88-0.42vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.07vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.64-5.39vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.38-9.21vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.09-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.72Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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5.51Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.69Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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9.29Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.14Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.58Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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11.01Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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12.93Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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9.61Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.76Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 10.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| John Eastman | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Peter Joslin | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 13.4% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Jack Derry | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| William George | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Marina Garrido | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 20.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 25.6% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.