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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+4.32vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+7.49vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+3.71vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+5.45vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.67+0.63vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+0.61vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27+4.07vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.74+1.04vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.05-0.82vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.64-0.47vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.88vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.09-4.10vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-2.45vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.09-2.11vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.88-2.59vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.77-3.07vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.78-7.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.45Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.63Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.07Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.04Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.53Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.9Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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11.89Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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12.41Northeastern University0.880.0%1st Place
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12.93Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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9.16Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 13.9% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William George | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| John Eastman | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Maks Groom | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jack Derry | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 15.7% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 20.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 23.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.