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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+3.34vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.53+3.87vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.15+4.33vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.08+3.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.64vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.51+0.17vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.50-0.90vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.95+3.44vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+1.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-0.81vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College0.86+1.04vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-2.79vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62-0.18vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.61-4.59vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.67-5.96vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-5.03vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.01-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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5.87Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.64Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.17Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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11.44Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.35Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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12.04Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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12.82Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.04Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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10.97Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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14.5Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 18.7% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Bryan Trammell | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Griffin Lapham | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 18.7% | 11.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 18.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% |
| Griffen Horne | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.