← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University0.95+10.40vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College0.86+9.89vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.15+4.28vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.29+2.85vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.62+7.58vs Predicted
-
6Yale University1.67+3.26vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.50-0.98vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.03-3.64vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.53-2.95vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.08-2.57vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.18-0.02vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-2.69vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University2.51-6.91vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.37-3.68vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-5.75vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.01-1.46vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.61-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.4Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
11.89Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
-
7.28Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
-
6.85Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
12.58Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
9.26Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
-
6.02Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
-
4.36Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
-
6.05Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
-
7.43Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
-
10.98Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
-
9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
-
6.09Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
-
10.32Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
-
14.54Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
-
9.39Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 9.2% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 10.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 17.9% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| James Paul | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 19.5% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Liam Lawless | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Griffen Horne | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 43.4% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.