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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+3.39vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.53+3.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+3.91vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.15+3.50vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.95+6.66vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.62+7.05vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.50-0.82vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.51-1.87vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.00-0.89vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.08-2.51vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-1.45vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College0.86+0.11vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-3.36vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.01+0.52vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-3.99vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.67-6.69vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.61-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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5.99Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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6.91Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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11.66Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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13.05Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.13Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.11Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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12.11Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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14.52Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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11.01Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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9.31Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 19.5% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 19.6% | 19.1% |
| James Paul | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Griffin Lapham | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Griffen Horne | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 42.5% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 6.1% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.