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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+10.29vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.84+6.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+4.69vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+3.53vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.50+0.87vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+2.45vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.37+2.99vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.14vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-3.91vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.63-0.98vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.25-0.69vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-3.56vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.01vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.43-8.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-5.54vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.43-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.29University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.1Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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7.69Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.45Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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5.09Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.02Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.44Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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13.05Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Simmons | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Colin Smith | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Tedd Himler | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| William Hutchings | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.5% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| D.J. Hatch | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 4.1% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.