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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+7.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08+4.71vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03+0.59vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.50+1.06vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.51+0.31vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.15+0.46vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.53-1.98vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.67+0.37vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-0.58vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.00-2.95vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.61-2.67vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.86-0.79vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.62-1.02vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-4.06vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.95-4.11vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.01-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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4.59Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.31Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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6.02Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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9.37Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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8.05Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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9.33Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.21Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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12.98Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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11.89Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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14.58Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 16.9% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 12.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 19.5% | 18.8% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.3% |
| Griffen Horne | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 18.3% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.