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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.60vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.50+3.92vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.51+3.00vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.37+6.23vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03-0.65vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.15+1.39vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.08+0.54vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62+4.52vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.61+0.41vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.53-4.07vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.95+0.80vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.01+2.41vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-3.49vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.86-1.88vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.67-5.99vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-5.06vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.0Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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4.35Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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12.52Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.93Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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11.8Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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14.41Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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12.12Dartmouth College0.860.0%1st Place
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9.01Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 18.8% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 10.9% |
| Griffen Horne | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 43.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 10.8% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.