Race 1C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Taylor Eastman 10.1% 8.7% 9.6% 10.4% 7.5% 8.4% 7.9% 8.4% 7.0% 6.1% 6.4% 4.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.9%
Mason Stang 16.1% 16.3% 12.0% 13.6% 9.8% 7.8% 7.4% 5.4% 3.9% 3.4% 2.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Adams 6.4% 7.6% 7.1% 8.0% 8.2% 6.5% 9.0% 7.4% 8.7% 7.2% 8.1% 7.4% 5.4% 2.5% 0.5%
Will Donovan 5.1% 5.1% 5.7% 6.5% 7.3% 7.9% 5.7% 7.8% 8.9% 7.0% 8.5% 8.9% 7.8% 5.4% 2.4%
Bradley Whiteway 8.2% 7.2% 8.3% 7.4% 6.3% 9.4% 8.7% 8.8% 9.4% 7.3% 5.7% 5.8% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0%
Nick Budington 8.4% 8.2% 10.3% 7.7% 10.0% 10.3% 9.3% 9.7% 6.5% 6.8% 4.8% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
Ashley Arruda 3.0% 2.2% 2.6% 3.0% 2.5% 3.8% 3.3% 4.4% 4.9% 6.6% 8.5% 9.8% 12.6% 16.5% 16.3%
Shea Smith 8.1% 7.3% 8.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.3% 7.6% 8.1% 8.8% 8.1% 8.0% 5.5% 3.3% 2.4% 1.0%
Matthew Cabot 1.3% 1.9% 0.5% 2.1% 2.8% 3.1% 2.3% 3.6% 4.1% 5.6% 6.4% 10.2% 11.2% 16.8% 28.1%
Katherine McGagh 2.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 3.8% 2.8% 4.1% 5.0% 6.1% 8.2% 7.9% 9.0% 12.2% 15.6% 16.3%
Matthew Elliott 8.8% 9.5% 10.5% 8.0% 8.4% 8.3% 8.7% 7.9% 6.9% 6.3% 6.0% 5.4% 2.9% 1.8% 0.6%
Meredith Broadus 2.7% 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 4.9% 4.7% 5.7% 5.3% 6.7% 8.0% 8.8% 11.5% 11.6% 13.1% 9.9%
Lochlann Ludwig 1.5% 1.7% 2.6% 2.6% 3.1% 3.2% 4.0% 3.6% 4.5% 5.6% 7.5% 8.1% 14.8% 16.4% 20.8%
Drew Mastovsky 12.1% 12.3% 11.9% 11.3% 9.9% 8.4% 8.7% 7.0% 6.0% 4.5% 3.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Sam Monaghan 5.8% 7.7% 6.5% 6.9% 7.5% 7.1% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 9.3% 7.7% 6.0% 6.7% 4.2% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.