Race 8B

neisa-coed-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Alec Anderson 14.2% 13.9% 13.3% 11.8% 10.0% 6.9% 6.0% 6.8% 4.9% 3.4% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Tedd Himler 12.1% 12.4% 10.3% 10.3% 7.9% 8.1% 7.5% 6.1% 6.0% 5.5% 4.8% 3.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5%
Johnny Norfleet 6.1% 6.5% 5.4% 7.2% 7.3% 6.1% 6.2% 7.2% 7.1% 8.2% 8.1% 6.9% 6.1% 5.3% 4.0% 2.3%
Patrick Clancy 4.7% 7.4% 6.4% 6.0% 7.0% 5.8% 6.4% 6.8% 6.2% 7.1% 6.8% 7.6% 6.6% 7.7% 5.1% 2.4%
Colin Smith 6.8% 6.2% 6.7% 6.8% 7.9% 7.3% 8.8% 7.3% 5.9% 6.9% 6.4% 6.6% 6.9% 5.6% 3.1% 0.8%
James Simmons 2.4% 2.0% 2.3% 2.1% 3.1% 4.0% 4.6% 5.1% 4.5% 5.3% 6.0% 6.2% 7.9% 8.8% 17.2% 18.5%
Christopher Segerblom 6.0% 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 5.8% 6.5% 5.2% 7.4% 8.4% 6.7% 5.5% 8.0% 7.6% 6.7% 5.4% 3.1%
Matthew Wefer 7.7% 7.6% 7.7% 7.5% 7.8% 7.4% 7.2% 7.6% 7.7% 8.1% 5.7% 6.0% 4.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.0%
William Hutchings 3.4% 4.1% 3.9% 4.6% 4.0% 4.8% 6.4% 5.7% 5.0% 6.6% 8.4% 7.7% 8.1% 9.8% 9.6% 7.9%
Daniel Perkins 4.8% 5.2% 5.1% 4.6% 4.8% 5.8% 6.0% 6.5% 7.1% 7.5% 8.1% 8.6% 7.9% 7.7% 6.0% 4.3%
Kevin Martland 6.2% 5.5% 6.2% 5.5% 6.5% 6.3% 6.0% 6.2% 8.3% 6.3% 6.6% 7.7% 6.6% 8.7% 5.0% 2.4%
D.J. Hatch 3.6% 3.1% 3.4% 3.1% 5.2% 5.4% 4.8% 5.6% 5.2% 5.9% 6.6% 6.3% 9.7% 9.7% 10.8% 11.6%
Jonathan Duffett 3.2% 4.7% 5.8% 5.3% 4.8% 6.3% 6.5% 5.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.4% 8.2% 8.2% 7.1% 9.2% 4.8%
Andrew Sommer 6.6% 5.5% 6.4% 7.5% 7.1% 8.6% 7.0% 6.8% 8.2% 6.6% 6.0% 7.0% 6.7% 4.3% 4.0% 1.7%
Anne Haeger 11.0% 8.7% 9.8% 10.3% 9.3% 8.0% 8.9% 6.8% 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 3.2% 3.2% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Tommy Holmberg 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 3.0% 2.8% 4.6% 4.1% 6.2% 10.2% 15.3% 38.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.