← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.85+4.26vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.86+7.43vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+6.16vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.34vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.68+1.28vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin1.20+5.17vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.57+4.57vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.38-0.05vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.38-2.02vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College0.41+4.44vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.22-3.99vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.07+1.65vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University1.12-1.04vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University1.96-4.96vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-5.39vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania2.16-8.02vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.22-5.80vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University1.27-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.26Yale University2.8514.3%1st Place
-
9.43Brown University1.865.3%1st Place
-
9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.054.7%1st Place
-
7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.9%1st Place
-
6.28Roger Williams University2.6810.5%1st Place
-
11.17University of Wisconsin1.202.6%1st Place
-
11.57Old Dominion University1.573.0%1st Place
-
7.95Bowdoin College2.386.2%1st Place
-
6.98College of Charleston2.389.3%1st Place
-
14.44SUNY Maritime College0.411.6%1st Place
-
7.01Tufts University2.228.7%1st Place
-
13.65Boston University1.071.1%1st Place
-
11.96North Carolina State University1.122.5%1st Place
-
9.04Cornell University1.964.5%1st Place
-
9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.7%1st Place
-
7.98University of Pennsylvania2.167.1%1st Place
-
11.2Northeastern University1.222.8%1st Place
-
10.99George Washington University1.273.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 34.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Porter Bell | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 22.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.