Race 4C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Will Donovan 7.5% 5.4% 6.6% 6.5% 7.3% 8.0% 7.2% 7.5% 8.9% 9.4% 8.3% 7.3% 5.3% 3.3% 1.5%
Nick Budington 9.4% 11.1% 10.8% 9.9% 10.0% 8.7% 9.0% 8.8% 7.4% 4.4% 4.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Taylor Eastman 9.4% 9.6% 11.0% 8.8% 8.2% 9.9% 9.6% 8.7% 7.4% 7.2% 5.3% 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%
Drew Mastovsky 13.9% 13.1% 11.5% 10.1% 11.0% 10.3% 7.8% 7.6% 4.9% 3.9% 3.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Shea Smith 8.1% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 8.7% 8.3% 9.2% 8.2% 9.5% 7.9% 5.9% 4.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.1%
Katherine McGagh 2.5% 3.1% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.2% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 9.4% 11.0% 11.3% 14.2% 11.7% 9.2%
Sam Monaghan 7.9% 5.6% 6.4% 7.5% 8.4% 7.6% 7.8% 11.1% 9.3% 7.4% 7.2% 6.1% 4.3% 2.5% 0.9%
Meredith Broadus 3.4% 2.7% 3.6% 5.2% 4.8% 4.3% 5.8% 5.5% 9.1% 9.3% 10.3% 10.0% 12.8% 8.9% 4.3%
Mason Stang 16.3% 16.4% 15.0% 12.0% 10.3% 9.7% 7.1% 4.7% 3.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Slosar 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.6% 2.6% 2.7% 4.1% 5.6% 7.4% 10.2% 19.1% 39.4%
Alex Adams 6.4% 8.1% 7.4% 8.0% 8.4% 7.6% 9.4% 9.2% 8.3% 7.3% 6.5% 6.3% 4.4% 1.8% 0.9%
Ashley Arruda 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 3.4% 3.6% 4.7% 5.7% 6.4% 6.2% 10.6% 12.0% 14.2% 14.1% 11.2%
Lochlann Ludwig 2.0% 1.2% 2.8% 3.1% 4.3% 3.4% 3.5% 4.8% 5.6% 6.3% 8.1% 13.2% 11.9% 17.2% 12.6%
Matthew Elliott 9.4% 10.6% 9.3% 11.3% 7.8% 9.7% 9.5% 8.0% 7.4% 6.3% 5.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4%
Matthew Cabot 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 3.6% 3.4% 3.0% 4.4% 7.8% 7.1% 9.7% 14.2% 17.2% 19.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.