Race 6C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Alex Adams 7.5% 7.7% 9.7% 7.4% 7.6% 8.9% 8.4% 8.7% 6.8% 8.5% 7.1% 4.7% 4.4% 1.8% 0.8%
Ashley Arruda 2.4% 3.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 5.8% 6.7% 5.6% 6.1% 9.7% 13.0% 12.6% 14.4% 8.8%
Mason Stang 16.8% 16.8% 12.3% 13.3% 10.3% 9.3% 6.2% 5.7% 3.9% 2.0% 2.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 2.7% 3.9% 4.4% 3.6% 4.4% 5.7% 6.1% 7.2% 6.5% 8.2% 10.5% 10.8% 12.1% 9.5% 4.4%
Shea Smith 7.9% 8.2% 8.5% 8.3% 8.9% 6.6% 8.6% 10.0% 10.0% 7.6% 4.9% 4.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Sam Monaghan 6.9% 6.5% 6.3% 5.8% 7.8% 10.2% 8.9% 8.3% 9.6% 9.1% 6.9% 6.6% 3.8% 2.5% 0.8%
Drew Mastovsky 14.4% 11.3% 12.3% 12.1% 11.7% 8.6% 8.4% 5.6% 6.1% 3.8% 2.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Katherine McGagh 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 4.3% 4.5% 3.7% 5.2% 7.3% 8.3% 10.0% 9.0% 13.6% 14.8% 8.2%
Nick Budington 9.8% 9.6% 10.1% 10.3% 10.3% 11.0% 8.8% 7.6% 7.3% 5.7% 5.2% 2.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Will Donovan 5.2% 4.9% 6.5% 7.3% 5.8% 7.5% 9.2% 7.9% 7.9% 9.4% 10.6% 7.8% 6.0% 2.7% 1.3%
Lochlann Ludwig 1.7% 2.7% 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 2.7% 4.4% 4.8% 5.6% 7.4% 8.1% 12.9% 13.3% 14.3% 12.4%
Luke Slosar 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 1.2% 2.5% 5.0% 5.0% 8.7% 9.9% 16.3% 43.1%
Matthew Cabot 1.1% 1.0% 2.4% 1.9% 3.5% 3.0% 2.4% 3.6% 4.7% 6.1% 6.6% 10.2% 13.7% 20.2% 19.6%
Taylor Eastman 9.7% 10.3% 9.2% 11.1% 8.8% 8.7% 7.8% 8.5% 7.9% 6.7% 5.4% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Matthew Elliott 10.4% 10.4% 9.9% 9.2% 8.3% 8.2% 9.0% 9.0% 8.3% 6.1% 5.1% 3.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.