Race 7C

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mason Stang 17.0% 17.5% 12.6% 9.1% 9.9% 9.3% 6.6% 5.1% 4.4% 3.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Will Donovan 5.2% 6.2% 5.5% 6.9% 7.4% 8.0% 6.3% 7.8% 6.9% 8.8% 8.6% 8.4% 6.3% 5.2% 2.5%
Taylor Eastman 8.9% 8.3% 10.4% 8.7% 8.9% 8.9% 8.5% 8.8% 7.1% 6.9% 6.6% 3.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.6%
Drew Mastovsky 12.9% 13.1% 11.6% 10.5% 9.4% 7.1% 9.4% 7.2% 5.4% 5.1% 4.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5%
Matthew Elliott 8.9% 9.6% 9.1% 9.0% 7.5% 7.5% 9.6% 9.9% 7.5% 5.2% 6.2% 4.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Alex Adams 6.8% 7.4% 6.0% 6.7% 8.2% 7.8% 9.7% 7.3% 7.8% 8.6% 8.9% 6.7% 4.4% 2.4% 1.3%
Nick Budington 10.5% 8.7% 9.6% 8.6% 9.5% 9.4% 7.9% 7.9% 7.2% 6.6% 5.0% 3.7% 3.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Matthew Cabot 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 2.4% 3.4% 3.7% 5.7% 6.3% 7.5% 11.7% 16.4% 31.2%
Ashley Arruda 1.8% 1.7% 2.6% 2.4% 3.7% 3.6% 4.1% 5.4% 4.9% 5.4% 8.0% 11.8% 13.1% 14.9% 16.6%
Shea Smith 7.0% 6.3% 8.7% 8.8% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 8.2% 8.2% 7.7% 5.5% 6.1% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8%
Lochlann Ludwig 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 3.4% 4.1% 2.8% 3.3% 6.5% 5.2% 7.3% 10.7% 11.7% 15.6% 20.4%
Sam Monaghan 5.4% 5.1% 5.5% 8.1% 7.7% 6.5% 7.9% 6.9% 8.0% 9.4% 8.2% 7.7% 7.1% 4.6% 1.9%
Bradley Whiteway 7.4% 6.4% 8.0% 9.2% 6.0% 8.2% 7.1% 9.0% 7.9% 8.8% 8.4% 5.6% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1%
Katherine McGagh 1.9% 2.2% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 4.0% 3.6% 4.6% 7.0% 6.1% 5.8% 11.2% 11.9% 17.4% 14.0%
Meredith Broadus 2.9% 3.6% 3.5% 4.2% 3.8% 4.7% 5.8% 5.2% 7.5% 7.0% 8.5% 9.3% 12.4% 13.2% 8.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.