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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.90+5.81vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.55+5.95vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.68+4.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.00+5.90vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.07+1.44vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.10+0.21vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.79+0.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-1.69vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-4.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-3.08vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.34+0.81vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.40-6.53vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.62-2.79vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.67-4.11vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.74-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.95Fordham University1.550.1%1st Place
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7.62Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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6.21Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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7.26Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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4.57Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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11.81Harvard University0.340.0%1st Place
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5.47Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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11.21Maine Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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10.89Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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10.64Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Will Donovan | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Nick Budington | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Alex Adams | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Elliott | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Mason Stang | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 29.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 20.4% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 16.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.