Race 10C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Shea Smith 8.8% 8.4% 10.4% 6.7% 8.7% 9.0% 7.2% 10.2% 9.0% 6.6% 5.9% 4.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
Taylor Eastman 8.3% 12.9% 11.1% 7.7% 10.4% 8.5% 8.8% 7.7% 7.2% 5.9% 5.7% 3.0% 1.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Mason Stang 17.9% 15.4% 13.7% 12.1% 10.1% 8.8% 7.4% 5.4% 3.4% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Adams 8.4% 6.8% 7.3% 9.4% 7.6% 7.5% 8.9% 8.7% 8.5% 8.3% 6.8% 6.5% 2.7% 2.3% 0.3%
Sam Monaghan 6.7% 7.9% 6.1% 6.4% 7.2% 7.9% 8.9% 7.6% 9.0% 10.8% 7.6% 5.2% 4.2% 3.9% 0.6%
Drew Mastovsky 13.1% 12.9% 12.1% 12.3% 10.9% 9.6% 7.8% 7.6% 5.6% 3.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Nick Budington 11.0% 8.6% 10.6% 10.1% 9.6% 10.2% 8.9% 8.3% 5.9% 6.7% 4.2% 2.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Meredith Broadus 3.7% 2.9% 3.1% 4.4% 4.1% 5.8% 6.3% 6.6% 8.6% 7.8% 10.1% 11.3% 12.2% 8.8% 4.3%
Will Donovan 5.1% 6.2% 5.3% 8.3% 7.9% 7.5% 9.1% 8.1% 8.2% 9.4% 8.7% 7.0% 5.8% 2.7% 0.7%
Matthew Elliott 8.4% 9.1% 9.9% 11.4% 9.3% 9.5% 7.6% 9.1% 8.5% 6.5% 3.7% 4.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.4%
Ashley Arruda 2.4% 2.1% 2.4% 3.5% 4.0% 3.6% 3.7% 5.4% 6.6% 7.8% 9.1% 11.6% 14.8% 12.2% 10.8%
Lochlann Ludwig 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.5% 3.1% 3.8% 5.6% 4.7% 5.7% 6.8% 9.8% 13.0% 13.8% 15.1% 11.1%
Katherine McGagh 2.3% 2.6% 2.7% 3.0% 3.2% 4.9% 4.5% 4.6% 6.6% 6.9% 10.0% 13.2% 13.7% 12.0% 9.8%
Aidan Pesce 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% 2.7% 4.1% 4.7% 5.5% 7.1% 8.6% 13.1% 21.1% 23.7%
Luke Slosar 1.1% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 1.9% 1.6% 2.6% 1.9% 2.5% 3.8% 7.2% 7.7% 10.8% 17.9% 37.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.