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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.97+8.41vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+6.09vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+2.68vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.35+3.64vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+4.73vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.15-1.00vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.93+3.99vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.73+0.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.82vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.28-1.90vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.42-0.66vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.45-4.76vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.41-5.85vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.90-1.43vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-4.57vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.68-1.94vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.52-2.50vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.55-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41Boston College1.974.0%1st Place
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8.09Georgetown University2.206.7%1st Place
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5.68Dartmouth College2.7512.3%1st Place
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7.64Tulane University2.357.4%1st Place
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9.73Fordham University1.985.2%1st Place
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5.0Stanford University3.1516.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Miami1.933.3%1st Place
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8.73Webb Institute1.735.1%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.3%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Naval Academy2.286.5%1st Place
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10.34University of Rhode Island1.423.8%1st Place
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7.24Harvard University2.457.7%1st Place
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7.15University of Hawaii2.417.7%1st Place
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12.57University of Southern California0.901.9%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.583.6%1st Place
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14.06Northwestern University0.681.1%1st Place
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14.5University of South Florida0.521.1%1st Place
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10.53Jacksonville University1.553.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 16.0% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Robby Meek | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Erik Anderson | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 27.6% |
| Brilan Christopher | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 33.1% |
| Matthew King | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.