← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.42+6.73vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.47+5.42vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.54+4.18vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+9.05vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.88vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.10+2.86vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.00+2.27vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.25vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.71vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.99-0.42vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.12-2.05vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.83-1.57vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.82-3.10vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.65-3.54vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-6.76vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.93-6.36vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University2.94-7.27vs Predicted
-
18Boston College3.07-9.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.73Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.42Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
7.18Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
13.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
-
10.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.86College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
-
9.27Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
10.25U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
-
10.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
9.58Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.95Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
10.43University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
-
9.9Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
10.46Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
-
8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
9.64Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
9.73Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
8.71Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 26.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Jack Egan | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Scott Mais | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.