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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+8.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+6.97vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+6.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+9.10vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.76+5.25vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54+0.94vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47+0.22vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.93+1.44vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.42-1.61vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-1.34vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-0.77vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.12vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.94-4.78vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.07-6.13vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.10-7.12vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.82vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.65-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.97Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.55Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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13.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.44Georgetown University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.23Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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9.22Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.58Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Jack Egan | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 27.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Scott Mais | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.