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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+10.16vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+7.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+6.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76+6.18vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+4.24vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.66vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47+0.21vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.26vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.54-2.13vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-2.28vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-0.78vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.07-2.64vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.14vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-1.04vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.10-6.27vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.94-6.37vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.00-7.50vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.65-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.84Georgetown University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.01Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.24Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.22Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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12.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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8.73College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.63Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.5Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
| Scott Mais | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Jack Egan | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 26.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.