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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+7.30vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+7.57vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.10+5.80vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+2.98vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+4.73vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.54-0.25vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.82+1.78vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.94+0.27vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.00-0.66vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-2.36vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.42-4.41vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.76-3.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-1.29vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.49-3.79vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.99-6.85vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.83-7.05vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.25-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.57Georgetown University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.8College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.78Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.27Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.34Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.64Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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11.21Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.15Stanford University2.990.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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12.05Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Scott Mais | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Jack Egan | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 21.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.