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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+6.73vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+7.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.63vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.09vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54+0.73vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.41vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00+0.93vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.93+0.27vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.99-0.67vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.94-1.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.53vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.10-4.57vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.25-2.16vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.42-7.83vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-6.12vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.49-5.61vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.73Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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8.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.73Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.93Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.27Georgetown University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.33Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.44Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.43College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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11.84Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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7.17Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.88Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.39Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jack Egan | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Scott Mais | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 14.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.