← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.00+8.45vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.12+6.94vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.10+6.02vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.54+2.87vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.49+6.33vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+4.98vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University2.94+2.50vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.42-0.64vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.47-1.87vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.54vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.82-0.81vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.98vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.07-4.22vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-1.09vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University2.93-5.52vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.99-6.70vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-8.56vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania2.83-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.45Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
-
8.94Yale University3.120.0%1st Place
-
9.02College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
-
6.87Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
11.33Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
-
10.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
9.5Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
7.36Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.13Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
10.54U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
10.19Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
11.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
8.78Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
12.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
-
9.48Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
9.3Stanford University2.990.0%1st Place
-
8.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
9.76University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Jack Egan | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 24.9% |
| Scott Mais | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.