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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+6.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+8.23vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.83+5.87vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.49+6.33vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54+0.89vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07+1.87vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00+1.16vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-0.80vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.91vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.53vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.42-4.23vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.93-3.60vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.99-5.02vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.82-5.03vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.10-7.13vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.94-7.36vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.94Yale University3.120.0%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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11.33Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.4Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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8.98Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.97Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.87College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.64Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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13.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Scott Mais | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.