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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+6.58vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+6.42vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79+7.37vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.94+5.30vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.46vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+4.01vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12+1.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+2.84vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.76+1.27vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.07-0.85vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.00-1.64vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.83-1.65vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-5.91vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.54-7.32vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.49-3.68vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.99-6.73vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.10-8.10vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.37Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
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9.3Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.61Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.15Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.36Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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11.32Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University2.990.0%1st Place
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8.9College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Jack Egan | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.