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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+6.64vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+5.08vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+5.46vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.83+5.86vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+4.19vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+3.99vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.58vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.79+2.00vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.94+0.43vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.49+1.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.09vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.12-2.95vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.10-4.40vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.07-5.44vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.76-4.77vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.00-6.76vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-3.67vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.47-11.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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9.19Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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10.0Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
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9.43Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.74Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.05Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.6College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.56Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.24Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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13.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% |
| Jack Egan | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 26.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.