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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.48vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+6.28vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.50+2.93vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.25+6.54vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+2.74vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.05+1.53vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.71-1.72vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.84+0.06vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93+2.40vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.87vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.37-1.11vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.80-3.60vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.63-5.08vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.25-4.67vs Predicted
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16Bates College2.43-2.95vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-8.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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8.28Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.28Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.06Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.4Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.92Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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13.05Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 17.5% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Tedd Himler | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% |
| Colin Smith | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Clancy | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| James Simmons | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 16.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| William Hutchings | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 6.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Daniel Perkins | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| William Howard | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 39.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.