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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+7.89vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+5.35vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.87vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10+4.59vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54+1.91vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.79+4.10vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.91vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00+1.11vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82+0.99vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.52vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-1.97vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.49-0.20vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.26vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.42-6.88vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.99-5.78vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-2.77vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-8.62vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.94-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.1Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.03Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.8Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.22Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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13.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.25Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 14.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 25.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.