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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+9.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+6.92vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+4.39vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+3.32vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83+4.84vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+2.26vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.15vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00+0.18vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.99-0.43vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.94-1.39vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.10-2.85vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.49-1.76vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.40vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.54-8.20vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-5.93vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.07-8.03vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.3Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.92Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.32Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.57Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.61Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.15College of Charleston3.100.0%1st Place
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11.24Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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6.8Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.97Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Jack Egan | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Noah Zittrer | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.