← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.47+6.45vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.10+7.03vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.82vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.07+4.76vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.83+4.93vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.54+0.86vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.42+0.39vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.82+1.92vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.00+0.16vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.52vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.49+0.59vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-3.38vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.94-3.71vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University2.79-4.20vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University2.99-5.85vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-2.73vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.98vs Predicted
-
18Yale University3.12-9.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.45Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.03College of Charleston3.100.0%1st Place
-
10.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
8.76Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
9.93University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
-
6.86Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
7.39Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.92Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.16Roger Williams University3.000.0%1st Place
-
10.52U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
11.59Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
-
8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
9.29Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
9.8Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
-
9.15Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
13.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
-
11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.44Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 25.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% |
| Jack Egan | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.