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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+5.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+7.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+4.30vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+5.78vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.10+3.35vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+1.84vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81+2.67vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91+1.14vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.20vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.22-1.82vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.07-2.35vs Predicted
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122.64-1.21vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-3.04vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.35-2.73vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95-1.88vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.35-4.30vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.45-5.68vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-8.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.78Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.84Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.14Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.18Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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8.65Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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10.792.640.0%1st Place
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9.96Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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13.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.0%1st Place
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11.7College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Dana Haig | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 22.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.