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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+5.30vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.81+7.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+5.88vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+2.90vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75+4.58vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+1.68vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.67vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.07+0.24vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.22-1.39vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.91-0.69vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.10-2.62vs Predicted
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122.64-1.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.47vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.35-2.92vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.06-2.46vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.45-4.93vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.23-4.93vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.71Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.58Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.68Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.24Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.61Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.622.640.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.08College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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12.54University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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11.07Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.07Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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12.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Dana Haig | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 16.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 14.3% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.