← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.81+8.65vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.75+7.95vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.40+4.14vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.64+1.97vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+4.55vs Predicted
-
62.64+4.19vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.23+0.65vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.91+0.97vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.07-0.77vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.99-1.05vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University3.10-2.64vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University3.22-3.93vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.41vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95-1.29vs Predicted
-
15Tulane University2.23-3.08vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston2.35-4.51vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College2.45-5.84vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania2.06-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.65Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
-
9.95Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
-
7.14Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
5.97Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
-
9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
-
10.192.640.0%1st Place
-
7.65Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.97Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
-
8.23Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
-
8.95U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.36Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
8.07Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
-
8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
12.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.0%1st Place
-
11.92Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
-
11.49College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
-
11.16Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
12.46University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Dana Haig | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Wiley Rogers | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 20.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.