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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.50+4.68vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.11vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.92+1.49vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+4.45vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+6.35vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+2.30vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.78vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.63+0.72vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.13vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.98-3.35vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.37-2.19vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.25-2.77vs Predicted
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14Bates College2.43-1.18vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.25-4.85vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.84-7.80vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.05-9.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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5.11Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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4.49Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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8.45Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.3Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.72Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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7.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.65Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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12.82Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.15Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.2Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedd Himler | 11.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 17.2% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| James Simmons | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 16.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| David Alfonso | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Colin Smith | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| William Hutchings | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| William Howard | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 35.3% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.