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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+5.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+8.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+7.05vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.22+3.74vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91+4.07vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.07+2.44vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.40+0.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.72vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.10-0.72vs Predicted
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102.64+0.60vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.35+0.68vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-3.90vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.30vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.45-3.20vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.95-1.94vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.81-6.35vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.09-4.24vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.70-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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10.05Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.07Boston College2.910.0%1st Place
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8.44Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.62.640.1%1st Place
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11.68College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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8.1Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.8Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.950.0%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Pennsylvania2.090.0%1st Place
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9.85Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Dana Haig | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 23.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 19.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.