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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.63+7.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.37+7.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.50+2.80vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.24vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.84+3.16vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.07vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.25+3.36vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93+3.20vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.58vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.25+0.39vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.05-3.69vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.98-4.38vs Predicted
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13Bates College2.43-0.14vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-6.79vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.80-7.69vs Predicted
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17Boston College4.92-12.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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5.24Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.16Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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8.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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10.39Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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12.86Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.21Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.31Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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4.49Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Perkins | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| William Hutchings | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
| Tedd Himler | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.8% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| William Howard | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% |
| James Simmons | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 15.7% |
| David Alfonso | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% |
| D.J. Hatch | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Colin Smith | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 35.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Taylor Canfield | 16.7% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.