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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+5.17vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.18+7.58vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.93+7.64vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+6.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+0.35vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.46vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.01+3.06vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.57-0.35vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.46-0.80vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.07+3.75vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.91-0.36vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.66-4.25vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.43+2.21vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.94-0.26vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-6.35vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.50-7.89vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.97-6.67vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.62-10.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.58Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.64Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.32George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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7.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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10.06North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.65Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.2Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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13.75University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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10.64Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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15.21University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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13.74Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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8.11Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.33Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.9% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Murray | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larson | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 20.4% | 17.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 16.3% | 43.1% |
| Matthew King | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 21.5% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.