← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami2.66+6.67vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+6.97vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.62+4.78vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University2.01+5.92vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.23+0.39vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.46+2.18vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.07vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.57-0.31vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.93+1.36vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.18-0.42vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute1.91-0.40vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University0.94+2.24vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-5.60vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University1.90-3.84vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University2.50-6.99vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin0.43-0.58vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan1.07-3.36vs Predicted
-
18Florida State University1.97-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.67University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
-
8.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.78Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
-
9.92North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
-
5.39University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.18Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
-
5.93SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.69Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
10.36Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
-
9.58Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
10.6Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
-
14.24Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
-
7.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
-
10.16George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
8.01Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
-
15.42University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
-
13.64University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
-
10.04Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larson | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.6% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Matthew King | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 21.5% | 23.1% |
| Will Murray | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 17.3% | 42.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 17.3% |
| Joey Meagher | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.