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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+4.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+6.94vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.10vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+6.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62+2.54vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.66+1.46vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+1.24vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-0.58vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.97+1.14vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18-0.38vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.91-0.43vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-3.65vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.93-2.83vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.57-6.50vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.07-1.53vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University2.01-5.93vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.43-1.58vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University0.85-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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6.1SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.31George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.24Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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7.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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10.14Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.62Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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10.57Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.35Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.17Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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13.47University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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10.07North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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15.42University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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14.1Jacksonville University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Will Murray | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 16.9% |
| Adam Larson | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 43.3% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.