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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+6.66vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.13vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+5.94vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+6.31vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+0.38vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.91+4.48vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.93+3.33vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.50-0.01vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.62-1.45vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-1.99vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University2.01-0.81vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.07+1.79vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-5.61vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.97-4.13vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.18-5.70vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.46-7.76vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.43-1.61vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University0.85-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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6.13SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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10.31George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.48Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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10.33Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.99Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.01Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.19North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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13.79University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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7.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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9.87Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.3Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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8.24Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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15.39University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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14.06Jacksonville University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.0% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Adam Larson | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 21.3% | 17.5% |
| Will Murray | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Joey Meagher | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Walter Henry | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 43.8% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.