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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+9.55vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01+8.26vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+5.86vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.93+6.13vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.87vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.90+4.38vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+0.66vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.97+2.09vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-1.70vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-2.35vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.50-2.93vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.46-3.53vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.62-5.57vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.07-0.79vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.93-4.76vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.85-1.73vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.43-1.63vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.23-12.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.55Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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10.26North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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10.13Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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5.87SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.09Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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8.07Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.47Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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13.21University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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10.24Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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14.27Jacksonville University0.850.0%1st Place
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15.37University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Adam Larson | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Will Murray | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Walter Henry | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 14.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 17.7% | 26.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 18.0% | 42.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.