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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.00vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+2.84vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+5.37vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+6.18vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18-0.10vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.35+1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.93+4.22vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98+1.98vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.56-0.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.14vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.42-0.46vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.14vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.55-2.43vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.73-5.13vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.02-1.40vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.41-8.64vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.90-4.41vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.16-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Dartmouth College2.7511.2%1st Place
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4.84Stanford University3.3015.6%1st Place
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8.37Georgetown University2.205.0%1st Place
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10.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.9%1st Place
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4.9Harvard University3.1813.9%1st Place
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7.94Tulane University2.356.6%1st Place
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11.22University of Miami1.933.2%1st Place
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9.98Fordham University1.983.6%1st Place
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8.27Boston College2.565.9%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy2.043.7%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island1.423.2%1st Place
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10.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.6%1st Place
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10.57Jacksonville University1.553.5%1st Place
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8.87Webb Institute1.735.8%1st Place
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13.6University of South Florida1.021.5%1st Place
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7.36University of Hawaii2.417.2%1st Place
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12.59University of Southern California0.901.8%1st Place
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15.06Northwestern University0.160.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.9% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Matthew King | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 20.8% |
| Erik Anderson | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% |
| Grace Bray | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.