Race 1A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Pesch 10.0% 13.1% 10.9% 9.4% 8.4% 10.2% 7.9% 7.3% 5.8% 5.7% 5.0% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6%
Alex Cook 16.6% 13.0% 12.8% 13.0% 10.2% 9.5% 6.7% 6.2% 4.3% 3.1% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0%
William Howard 7.6% 8.5% 8.0% 8.3% 7.6% 7.5% 8.7% 8.5% 8.9% 8.2% 7.7% 5.6% 4.1% 0.8%
Timothy Scanlon 3.9% 5.5% 6.8% 5.6% 6.3% 6.2% 6.5% 8.9% 8.0% 7.6% 9.7% 12.7% 9.8% 2.5%
Drew Shea 5.2% 7.2% 5.6% 7.4% 7.9% 7.5% 8.6% 7.4% 7.5% 10.8% 7.3% 9.4% 6.7% 1.5%
Colin Santangelo 5.9% 5.1% 6.2% 6.3% 6.4% 8.7% 8.2% 7.3% 9.6% 8.9% 8.8% 9.1% 7.7% 1.8%
Bernie Roesler 13.0% 12.4% 10.6% 10.8% 9.6% 7.9% 8.4% 7.4% 7.1% 5.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Quentin Chafee 7.4% 7.4% 7.3% 7.3% 8.2% 7.5% 7.8% 7.7% 8.0% 8.2% 7.7% 6.9% 7.1% 1.5%
Willem Sandberg 10.0% 8.5% 10.6% 9.9% 8.6% 10.5% 8.5% 8.4% 6.7% 7.0% 5.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.3%
Rob Struckett 7.3% 6.7% 7.3% 8.7% 8.9% 8.6% 7.5% 8.9% 8.2% 8.2% 8.3% 6.0% 5.0% 0.4%
Phoebe Sprague 4.3% 4.5% 3.7% 4.3% 6.9% 5.2% 7.0% 6.7% 7.5% 9.3% 11.0% 12.2% 13.5% 3.9%
Tevis Nichols 2.8% 2.5% 3.3% 3.2% 4.5% 3.9% 5.8% 5.7% 7.7% 8.1% 11.0% 13.3% 21.6% 6.6%
Conor Lodge 5.7% 5.2% 6.3% 5.6% 6.0% 6.1% 7.5% 8.3% 9.7% 8.0% 10.4% 9.5% 9.9% 1.8%
Whitney Washburn 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 3.7% 8.7% 77.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.