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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+6.34vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.62+5.44vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.69+8.39vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.69vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+2.20vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.46+1.97vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.01+2.77vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.94+5.68vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.91+1.20vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.50-1.96vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-2.48vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.93-1.57vs Predicted
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13Florida State University1.97-3.26vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.93-4.25vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.90-4.87vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.07-2.60vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.23-11.77vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.43-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.39Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.69SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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7.97Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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9.77North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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13.68Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.2Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.04Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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10.43Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.74Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.75Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.13George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Michigan1.070.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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15.08University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Murray | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larson | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Matthew King | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 21.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Joey Meagher | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.2% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.